Title: Reproduction of Spatial Accessibility of COVID-19 Healthcare Resources in Illinois¶

Reproduction of: Rapidly measuring spatial accessibility of COVID-19 healthcare resources: a case study of Illinois, USA

Original study by Kang, J. Y., A. Michels, F. Lyu, Shaohua Wang, N. Agbodo, V. L. Freeman, and Shaowen Wang. 2020. Rapidly measuring spatial accessibility of COVID-19 healthcare resources: a case study of Illinois, USA. International Journal of Health Geographics 19 (1):1–17. DOI:10.1186/s12942-020-00229-x.

Reproduction Authors: Joe Holler, Derrick Burt, and Kufre Udoh With contributions from Peter Kedron, Drew An-Pham, and the Spring 2021 Open Source GIScience class at Middlebury, Sydney Alexander

Reproduction Materials Available at: github.com/HEGSRR/RPr-Kang-2020

Created: 2021-06-01 Revised: 2021-08-19

Original Study Design¶

The purpose of the original study was to measure spatial accessibility of healthcare resources, such as ICU beds and ventilators, for COVID-19 in Illinois, USA. According to Kang, "Spatial accessibility was measured based on travel time between locations of residence and healthcare resources in the context of COVID-19 patients and population at risk (i.e., people aged over 50 years)" (Kang et al., 2020). This was achieved through the use of an enhanced two-step flating catchment area (E2SFCA) method using a parallel computing strategy based on cyberGIS. E2SFCA first calculated a bed-to-population ratio for each hospital location; afterwards it summed the ratios for residential locations where hospital locations overlapped. However, given the fact that E2FSCA is very computationally intensive, a modified E2SFCA in order to conduct the study more efficiently, relying on Python multiprocessing library. The orignal study used four types of datasets: the study used a hospital dataset, which included the number of beds in ICUs and the number of ventilators per hospital; it used a dataset COVID-19 confirmed cases; it used a residential dataset; and it used a road network dataset.

We improve speed limit information by replacing the network_setting function iwth use of the osmnx.speed module. Additionally, we translate hospital catchments into hexagons by modifying the overlap_calc function. Instead of exlcuding hospital catchments whose area us less than 50% within a certain hexagon, we will weight the service area by the percentage of overlap.

The spatial extent of the study was Illinois, USA. The spatial scale of the study was zip codes. The temporal extent of the study was 2020.

The original study was conducted using CyberGIS-Jupyter.

Original Data¶

To perform the ESFCA method, three types of data are required, as follows: (1) road network, (2) population, and (3) hospital information. The road network can be obtained from the OpenStreetMap Python Library, called OSMNX. The population data is available on the American Community Survey. Lastly, hospital information is also publically available on the Homelanad Infrastructure Foundation-Level Data.

Modules¶

Import necessary libraries to run this model. See environment.yml for the library versions used for this analysis.

In [1]:
# Import modules
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import geopandas as gpd
import networkx as nx
import osmnx as ox
import re
from shapely.geometry import Point, LineString, Polygon
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from tqdm import tqdm
import multiprocessing as mp
import folium
import itertools
import os
import time
import warnings
import IPython
import requests
from IPython.display import display, clear_output

warnings.filterwarnings("ignore")
print('\n'.join(f'{m.__name__}=={m.__version__}' for m in globals().values() if getattr(m, '__version__', None)))
numpy==1.22.0
pandas==1.3.5
geopandas==0.10.2
networkx==2.6.3
osmnx==1.1.2
re==2.2.1
folium==0.12.1.post1
IPython==8.3.0
requests==2.27.1

Check Directories¶

Because we have restructured the repository for replication, we need to check our working directory and make necessary adjustments.

In [2]:
# Check working directory
os.getcwd()
Out[2]:
'/home/jovyan/work/RPr-Kang-2020/procedure/code'
In [3]:
# Use to set work directory properly
if os.path.basename(os.getcwd()) == 'code':
    os.chdir('../../')
os.getcwd()
Out[3]:
'/home/jovyan/work/RPr-Kang-2020'

Load and Visualize Data¶

Population and COVID-19 Cases Data by County¶

'Cases' column is coming in as 'Unnamed_0' --> easy to rename but this probably should be reportede to the original authors

If you would like to use the data generated from the pre-processing scripts, use the following code:

covid_data = gpd.read_file('./data/raw/public/Pre-Processing/covid_pre-processed.shp')
atrisk_data = gpd.read_file('./data/raw/public/Pre-Processing/atrisk_pre-processed.shp')
In [4]:
# Read in at risk population data
atrisk_data = gpd.read_file('./data/raw/public/PopData/Illinois_Tract.shp')
atrisk_data.head()
Out[4]:
GEOID STATEFP COUNTYFP TRACTCE NAMELSAD Pop Unnamed_ 0 NAME OverFifty TotalPop geometry
0 17091011700 17 091 011700 Census Tract 117 3688 588 Census Tract 117, Kankakee County, Illinois 1135 3688 POLYGON ((-87.88768 41.13594, -87.88764 41.136...
1 17091011800 17 091 011800 Census Tract 118 2623 220 Census Tract 118, Kankakee County, Illinois 950 2623 POLYGON ((-87.89410 41.14388, -87.89400 41.143...
2 17119400951 17 119 400951 Census Tract 4009.51 5005 2285 Census Tract 4009.51, Madison County, Illinois 2481 5005 POLYGON ((-90.11192 38.70281, -90.11128 38.703...
3 17119400952 17 119 400952 Census Tract 4009.52 3014 2299 Census Tract 4009.52, Madison County, Illinois 1221 3014 POLYGON ((-90.09442 38.72031, -90.09360 38.720...
4 17135957500 17 135 957500 Census Tract 9575 2869 1026 Census Tract 9575, Montgomery County, Illinois 1171 2869 POLYGON ((-89.70369 39.34803, -89.69928 39.348...
In [5]:
# Read in covid case data
covid_data = gpd.read_file('./data/raw/public/PopData/Chicago_ZIPCODE.shp')
covid_data['cases'] = covid_data['cases']
covid_data.head()
Out[5]:
ZCTA5CE10 County State Join ZONE ZONENAME FIPS pop cases geometry
0 60660 Cook County IL Cook County IL IL_E Illinois East 1201 43242 78 POLYGON ((-87.65049 41.99735, -87.65029 41.996...
1 60640 Cook County IL Cook County IL IL_E Illinois East 1201 69715 117 POLYGON ((-87.64645 41.97965, -87.64565 41.978...
2 60614 Cook County IL Cook County IL IL_E Illinois East 1201 71308 134 MULTIPOLYGON (((-87.67703 41.91845, -87.67705 ...
3 60712 Cook County IL Cook County IL IL_E Illinois East 1201 12539 42 MULTIPOLYGON (((-87.76181 42.00465, -87.76156 ...
4 60076 Cook County IL Cook County IL IL_E Illinois East 1201 31867 114 MULTIPOLYGON (((-87.74782 42.01540, -87.74526 ...

Load Hospital Data¶

Note that 999 is treated as a "NULL"/"NA" so these hospitals are filtered out. This data contains the number of ICU beds and ventilators at each hospital.

In [6]:
# Read in hospital data
hospitals = gpd.read_file('./data/raw/public/HospitalData/Chicago_Hospital_Info.shp')
hospitals.head()
Out[6]:
FID Hospital City ZIP_Code X Y Total_Bed Adult ICU Total Vent geometry
0 2 Methodist Hospital of Chicago Chicago 60640 -87.671079 41.972800 145 36 12 MULTIPOINT (-87.67108 41.97280)
1 4 Advocate Christ Medical Center Oak Lawn 60453 -87.732483 41.720281 785 196 64 MULTIPOINT (-87.73248 41.72028)
2 13 Evanston Hospital Evanston 60201 -87.683288 42.065393 354 89 29 MULTIPOINT (-87.68329 42.06539)
3 24 AMITA Health Adventist Medical Center Hinsdale Hinsdale 60521 -87.920116 41.805613 261 65 21 MULTIPOINT (-87.92012 41.80561)
4 25 Holy Cross Hospital Chicago 60629 -87.690841 41.770001 264 66 21 MULTIPOINT (-87.69084 41.77000)

Generate and Plot Map of Hospitals¶

In [7]:
# Plot hospital data
m = folium.Map(location=[41.85, -87.65], tiles='cartodbpositron', zoom_start=10)
for i in range(0, len(hospitals)):
    folium.CircleMarker(
      location=[hospitals.iloc[i]['Y'], hospitals.iloc[i]['X']],
      popup="{}{}\n{}{}\n{}{}".format('Hospital Name: ',hospitals.iloc[i]['Hospital'],
                                      'ICU Beds: ',hospitals.iloc[i]['Adult ICU'],
                                      'Ventilators: ', hospitals.iloc[i]['Total Vent']),
      radius=5,
      color='blue',
      fill=True,
      fill_opacity=0.6,
      legend_name = 'Hospitals'
    ).add_to(m)
legend_html =   '''<div style="position: fixed; width: 20%; heigh: auto;
                            bottom: 10px; left: 10px;
                            solid grey; z-index:9999; font-size:14px;
                            ">&nbsp; Legend<br>'''

m
Out[7]:
Make this Notebook Trusted to load map: File -> Trust Notebook

Load and Plot Hexagon Grids (500-meter resolution)¶

In [8]:
# Read in and plot grid file for Chicago
grid_file = gpd.read_file('./data/raw/public/GridFile/Chicago_Grid.shp')
grid_file.plot(figsize=(8,8))
Out[8]:
<AxesSubplot:>

Load the Road Network¶

If Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml does not already exist, this cell will query the road network from OpenStreetMap.

Each of the road network code blocks may take a few mintues to run.

In [9]:
%%time
# To create a new graph from OpenStreetMap, delete or rename data/raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml 
# (if it exists), and set OSM to True 
OSM = False
#can make OSM True

# if buffered street network is not saved, and OSM is preferred, # generate a new graph from OpenStreetMap and save it
if not os.path.exists("./data/raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml") and OSM:
    print("Loading buffered Chicago road network from OpenStreetMap. Please wait... runtime may exceed 9min...", flush=True)
    G = ox.graph_from_place('Chicago', network_type='drive', buffer_dist=24140.2) 
    print("Saving Chicago road network to raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml. Please wait...", flush=True)
    ox.save_graphml(G, './data/raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml')
    print("Data saved.")

# otherwise, if buffered street network is not saved, download graph from the OSF project
elif not os.path.exists("./data/raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml"):
    print("Downloading buffered Chicago road network from OSF...", flush=True)
    url = 'https://osf.io/download/z8ery/'
    r = requests.get(url, allow_redirects=True)
    print("Saving buffered Chicago road network to file...", flush=True)
    open('./data/raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml', 'wb').write(r.content)

# if the buffered street network is already saved, load it
if os.path.exists("./data/raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml"):
    print("Loading buffered Chicago road network from raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml. Please wait...", flush=True)
    G = ox.load_graphml('./data/raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml') 
    print("Data loaded.") 
else:
    print("Error: could not load the road network from file.")
Loading buffered Chicago road network from raw/private/Chicago_Network_Buffer.graphml. Please wait...
Data loaded.
CPU times: user 36.5 s, sys: 1.58 s, total: 38.1 s
Wall time: 38.2 s

Plot the Road Network¶

In [10]:
%%time
ox.plot_graph(G, node_size = 1, bgcolor = 'white', node_color = 'black', edge_color = "#333333", node_alpha = 0.5, edge_linewidth = 0.5)
CPU times: user 46.5 s, sys: 331 ms, total: 46.8 s
Wall time: 46.6 s
Out[10]:
(<Figure size 576x576 with 1 Axes>, <AxesSubplot:>)

Check speed limit values¶

Display all the unique speed limit values and count how many network edges (road segments) have each value. We will compare this to our cleaned network later.

In [11]:
%%time
# Turn nodes and edges into geodataframes
nodes, edges = ox.graph_to_gdfs(G, nodes=True, edges=True)

# Get unique counts of road segments for each speed limit
print(edges['maxspeed'].value_counts())
print(str(len(edges)) + " edges in graph")

# can we also visualize highways / roads with higher speed limits to check accuracy?
# the code above converts the graph into an edges geodataframe, which could theoretically be filtered
# by fast road segments and mapped, e.g. in folium
25 mph                        6016
30 mph                        4873
35 mph                        4803
20 mph                        3621
40 mph                        2842
45 mph                        2423
55 mph                         876
60 mph                         293
50 mph                         287
15 mph                         107
70 mph                          79
[40 mph, 45 mph]                54
10 mph                          44
[35 mph, 30 mph]                36
65 mph                          36
[40 mph, 35 mph]                36
[45 mph, 35 mph]                34
[45 mph, 55 mph]                29
45,30                           24
[50 mph, 45 mph]                19
25, east                        14
25                              14
[25 mph, 30 mph]                13
[40 mph, 30 mph]                11
[35 mph, 20 mph]                 6
[25 mph, 35 mph]                 6
[60 mph, 65 mph]                 5
20                               4
[60 mph, 70 mph]                 4
[25 mph, 20 mph]                 4
[55 mph, 65 mph]                 4
[40 mph, 45 mph, 35 mph]         3
[50 mph, 40 mph]                 3
[50 mph, 55 mph]                 3
[55 mph, 60 mph]                 3
5 mph                            2
[50 mph, 45 mph, 55 mph]         2
[25, east, 30 mph]               2
[40 mph, 55 mph, 35 mph]         2
[50 mph, 55 mph, 45, east]       2
[45 mph, 60 mph]                 2
[40 mph, 25 mph, 35 mph]         2
[5 mph, 35 mph]                  2
[40 mph, 15 mph, 30 mph]         2
[60 mph, 55 mph]                 2
[45 mph, 70 mph, 5 mph]          2
[15 mph, 25 mph]                 2
[15 mph, 30 mph]                 2
[45 mph, 30 mph]                 2
[45mph, 45 mph]                  1
[30 mph, 20 mph]                 1
[55 mph, 35 mph]                 1
[45 mph, 15 mph]                 1
[15 mph, 45 mph]                 1
[15 mph, 15]                     1
Name: maxspeed, dtype: int64
384974 edges in graph
CPU times: user 31.4 s, sys: 61.9 ms, total: 31.4 s
Wall time: 31.4 s
In [12]:
edges.head()
Out[12]:
osmid oneway lanes ref name highway maxspeed length geometry bridge tunnel access junction width area service
u v key
738776 768967302 0 [61699092, 918557247] True [5, 4] I 294 Tri-State Tollway motorway 55 mph 467.708 LINESTRING (-87.68109 41.58525, -87.68096 41.5... NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN
738920 348225363 0 [61431949, 31298719] True 5 I 80;I 94 Kingery Expressway motorway 55 mph 1220.747 LINESTRING (-87.56225 41.57764, -87.55790 41.5... yes NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN
739113 1875082688 0 60862616 True 2 NaN NaN motorway_link NaN 549.609 LINESTRING (-87.34349 41.56738, -87.34277 41.5... NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN
739130 0 292493273 True 4 I 80;I 94;US 6 Borman Expressway motorway 55 mph 1191.046 LINESTRING (-87.34349 41.56738, -87.34104 41.5... NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN
739117 739113 0 292493271 True 5 I 80;I 94;US 6 Borman Expressway motorway 55 mph 381.798 LINESTRING (-87.34806 41.56768, -87.34689 41.5... NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN

network_setting function¶

Cleans the OSMNX network to work better with drive-time analysis.

First, we remove all nodes with 0 outdegree because any hospital assigned to such a node would be unreachable from everywhere. Next, we remove small (under 10 node) strongly connected components to reduce erroneously small ego-centric networks. Lastly, we ensure that the max speed is set and in the correct units before calculating time.

Args:

  • network: OSMNX network for the spatial extent of interest

Returns:

  • OSMNX network: cleaned OSMNX network for the spatial extent

We replace with the network setting function with the osmnx speed module in order to improve efficiency of the code.

In [13]:
# # two things about this function:
# # 1) the work to remove nodes is hardly worth it now that OSMnx cleans graphs by default
# # the function is now only pruning < 300 nodes
# # 2) try using the OSMnx speed module for setting speeds, travel times
# # https://osmnx.readthedocs.io/en/stable/user-reference.html#module-osmnx.speed
# # just be careful about units of speed and time!
# # the remainder of this code expects 'time' to be measured in minutes

# def network_setting(network):
#     _nodes_removed = len([n for (n, deg) in network.out_degree() if deg ==0])
#     network.remove_nodes_from([n for (n, deg) in network.out_degree() if deg ==0])
#     for component in list(nx.strongly_connected_components(network)):
#         if len(component)<10:
#             for node in component:
#                 _nodes_removed+=1
#                 network.remove_node(node)
#     for u, v, k, data in tqdm(G.edges(data=True, keys=True),position=0):
#         if 'maxspeed' in data.keys():
#             speed_type = type(data['maxspeed'])
#             if (speed_type==str):
#                 # Add in try/except blocks to catch maxspeed formats that don't fit Kang et al's cases
#                 try:
#                     if len(data['maxspeed'].split(','))==2:
#                         data['maxspeed_fix']=float(data['maxspeed'].split(',')[0])                  
#                     elif data['maxspeed']=='signals':
#                         data['maxspeed_fix']=30.0 # drive speed setting as 35 miles
#                     else:
#                         data['maxspeed_fix']=float(data['maxspeed'].split()[0])
#                 except:
#                     data['maxspeed_fix']=30.0 #miles
#             else:
#                 try:
#                     data['maxspeed_fix']=float(data['maxspeed'][0].split()[0])
#                 except:
#                     data['maxspeed_fix']=30.0 #miles
#         else:
#             data['maxspeed_fix']=30.0 #miles
#         data['maxspeed_meters'] = data['maxspeed_fix']*26.8223 # convert mile per hour to meters per minute
#         data['time'] = float(data['length'])/ data['maxspeed_meters'] # meters / meters per minute = minutes
#     print("Removed {} nodes ({:2.4f}%) from the OSMNX network".format(_nodes_removed, _nodes_removed/float(network.number_of_nodes())))
#     print("Number of nodes: {}".format(network.number_of_nodes()))
#     print("Number of edges: {}".format(network.number_of_edges()))    
#     return(network)

Here, we implement the osmnx speed module.

In [14]:
def network_setting(network):
    _nodes_removed = len([n for (n, deg) in network.out_degree() if deg ==0])
    network.remove_nodes_from([n for (n, deg) in network.out_degree() if deg ==0])
    for component in list(nx.strongly_connected_components(network)):
        if len(component)<10:
            for node in component:
                _nodes_removed+=1
                network.remove_node(node)
    ox.speed.add_edge_speeds(network)
    ox.speed.add_edge_travel_times(network)
    print("Removed {} nodes ({:2.4f}%) from the OSMNX network".format(_nodes_removed, _nodes_removed/float(network.number_of_nodes())))
    print("Number of nodes: {}".format(network.number_of_nodes()))
    print("Number of edges: {}".format(network.number_of_edges()))
    return(network)
    
#ox.speed.add_edge_speeds(G)
#ox.speed.add_edge_speeds(G, agg=np.mean)

Preprocess the Network using network_setting¶

In [15]:
%%time
# G, hospitals, grid_file, pop_data = file_import (population_dropdown.value)
G = network_setting(G)
# Create point geometries for each node in the graph, to make constructing catchment area polygons easier
for node, data in G.nodes(data=True):
    data['geometry']=Point(data['x'], data['y'])
# Modify code to react to processor dropdown (got rid of file_import function)
Removed 315 nodes (0.0022%) from the OSMNX network
Number of nodes: 142777
Number of edges: 384591
CPU times: user 40.7 s, sys: 222 ms, total: 40.9 s
Wall time: 40.9 s

Re-check speed limit values¶

Display all the unique speed limit values and count how many network edges (road segments) have each value. Compare to the previous results.

In [16]:
%%time
## Get unique counts for each road network
# Turn nodes and edges in geodataframes
nodes, edges = ox.graph_to_gdfs(G, nodes=True, edges=True)


# Check that osmnx added speeds and travel times to graph
# print(edges['speed_kph'].value_counts())
# print(str(len(edges)) + " edges in graph")
# print(edges['travel_time'].value_counts())

# # Count
# edges['speed_kph'] = edges['speed_kph']*0.621371
# G=ox.graph_from_gdfs(nodes, edges)
# print(edges['speed_kph'].value_counts())
# print(str(len(edges)) + " edges in graph")
37.6     285042
47.8      29182
56.9      27966
60.7       8898
40.2       6991
48.3       4873
56.3       4803
32.2       3618
64.4       2841
72.4       2423
41.5       2405
83.2       2243
88.5        867
53.4        460
96.6        290
80.5        287
89.0        257
29.5        234
67.7        158
46.7        145
24.1        107
112.7        70
68.0         54
16.1         44
64.0         39
60.0         38
52.0         36
80.0         31
25.0         28
104.6        25
45.3         24
76.0         19
44.0         19
56.0         11
36.0          8
48.0          8
84.0          5
72.0          5
92.0          5
100.0         5
20.0          4
32.0          4
104.0         4
96.0          3
53.0          2
71.0          2
69.0          2
8.0           2
45.0          2
40.0          1
19.0          1
Name: speed_kph, dtype: int64
384591 edges in graph
9.7      13538
9.6      11885
19.4      7470
19.3      6568
9.8       6516
         ...  
89.7         1
106.3        1
126.4        1
86.4         1
145.8        1
Name: travel_time, Length: 1214, dtype: int64
CPU times: user 30.8 s, sys: 79.5 ms, total: 30.9 s
Wall time: 30.9 s

"Helper" Functions¶

The functions below are needed for our analysis later, let's take a look!

hospital_setting¶

Finds the nearest network node for each hospital.

Args:

  • hospital: GeoDataFrame of hospitals
  • G: OSMNX network

Returns:

  • GeoDataFrame of hospitals with info on nearest network node
In [17]:
def hospital_setting(hospitals, G):
    # Create an empty column 
    hospitals['nearest_osm']=None
    # Append the neaerest osm column with each hospitals neaerest osm node
    for i in tqdm(hospitals.index, desc="Find the nearest network node from hospitals", position=0):
        hospitals['nearest_osm'][i] = ox.get_nearest_node(G, [hospitals['Y'][i], hospitals['X'][i]], method='euclidean') # find the nearest node from hospital location
    print ('hospital setting is done')
    return(hospitals)

pop_centroid¶

Converts geodata to centroids

Args:

  • pop_data: a GeodataFrame
  • pop_type: a string, either "pop" for general population or "covid" for COVID-19 case data

Returns:

  • GeoDataFrame of centroids with population data
In [18]:
def pop_centroid (pop_data, pop_type):
    pop_data = pop_data.to_crs({'init': 'epsg:4326'})
    # If pop is selected in dropdown, select at risk pop where population is greater than 0
    if pop_type =="pop":
        pop_data=pop_data[pop_data['OverFifty']>=0]
    # If covid is selected in dropdown, select where covid cases are greater than 0
    if pop_type =="covid":
        pop_data=pop_data[pop_data['cases']>=0]
    pop_cent = pop_data.centroid # it make the polygon to the point without any other information
    # Convert to gdf
    pop_centroid = gpd.GeoDataFrame()
    i = 0
    for point in tqdm(pop_cent, desc='Pop Centroid File Setting', position=0):
        if pop_type== "pop":
            pop = pop_data.iloc[i]['OverFifty']
            code = pop_data.iloc[i]['GEOID']
        if pop_type =="covid":
            pop = pop_data.iloc[i]['cases']
            code = pop_data.iloc[i].ZCTA5CE10
        pop_centroid = pop_centroid.append({'code':code,'pop': pop,'geometry': point}, ignore_index=True)
        i = i+1
    return(pop_centroid)

djikstra_cca_polygons¶

Function written by Joe Holler + Derrick Burt. It is a more efficient way to calculate distance-weighted catchment areas for each hospital. The algorithm runs quicker than the original one ("calculate_catchment_area"). It first creates a dictionary (with a node and its corresponding drive time from the hospital) of all nodes within a 30 minute drive time (using single_cource_dijkstra_path_length function). From here, two more dictionaries are constructed by querying the original one. From this dictionaries, single part convex hulls are created for each drive time interval and appended into a single list (one list with 3 polygon geometries). Within the list, the polygons are differenced from each other to produce three catchment areas.

Args:

  • G: cleaned network graph with node point geometries attached
  • nearest_osm: A unique nearest node ID calculated for a single hospital
  • distances: 3 distances (in drive time) to calculate catchment areas from
  • distance_unit: unit to calculate (time)

Returns:

  • A list of 3 diffrenced (not-overlapping) catchment area polygons (10 min poly, 20 min poly, 30 min poly)
In [19]:
def dijkstra_cca_polygons(G, nearest_osm, distances, distance_unit = "travel_time"):
    
    '''
    
    Before running: must assign point geometries to street nodes
    
    # create point geometries for the entire graph
    for node, data in G.nodes(data=True):
    data['geometry']=Point(data['x'], data['y'])
    
    '''
    
    ## CREATE DICTIONARIES
    # create dictionary of nearest nodes
    nearest_nodes_30 = nx.single_source_dijkstra_path_length(G, nearest_osm, distances[2], distance_unit) # creating the largest graph from which 10 and 20 minute drive times can be extracted from
    
    # extract values within 20 and 10 (respectively) minutes drive times
    nearest_nodes_20 = dict()
    nearest_nodes_10 = dict()
    for key, value in nearest_nodes_30.items():
        if value <= distances[1]:
            nearest_nodes_20[key] = value
        if value <= distances[0]:
            nearest_nodes_10[key] = value
    
    ## CREATE POLYGONS FOR 3 DISTANCE CATEGORIES (10 min, 20 min, 30 min)
    # 30 MIN
    # If the graph already has a geometry attribute with point data,
    # this line will create a GeoPandas GeoDataFrame from the nearest_nodes_30 dictionary
    points_30 = gpd.GeoDataFrame(gpd.GeoSeries(nx.get_node_attributes(G.subgraph(nearest_nodes_30), 'geometry')))

    # This line converts the nearest_nodes_30 dictionary into a Pandas data frame and joins it to points
    # left_index=True and right_index=True are options for merge() to join on the index values
    points_30 = points_30.merge(pd.Series(nearest_nodes_30).to_frame(), left_index=True, right_index=True)

    # Re-name the columns and set the geodataframe geometry to the geometry column
    points_30 = points_30.rename(columns={'0_x':'geometry','0_y':'z'}).set_geometry('geometry')

    # Create a convex hull polygon from the points
    polygon_30 = gpd.GeoDataFrame(gpd.GeoSeries(points_30.unary_union.convex_hull))
    polygon_30 = polygon_30.rename(columns={0:'geometry'}).set_geometry('geometry')
    
    # 20 MIN
    # Select nodes less than or equal to 20
    points_20 = points_30.query("z <= 1200")
    
    # Create a convex hull polygon from the points
    polygon_20 = gpd.GeoDataFrame(gpd.GeoSeries(points_20.unary_union.convex_hull))
    polygon_20 = polygon_20.rename(columns={0:'geometry'}).set_geometry('geometry')
    
    # 10 MIN
    # Select nodes less than or equal to 10
    points_10 = points_30.query("z <= 600")
    
    # Create a convex hull polygon from the points
    polygon_10 = gpd.GeoDataFrame(gpd.GeoSeries(points_10.unary_union.convex_hull))
    polygon_10 = polygon_10.rename(columns={0:'geometry'}).set_geometry('geometry')
    
    # Create empty list and append polygons
    polygons = []
    
    # Append
    polygons.append(polygon_10)
    polygons.append(polygon_20)
    polygons.append(polygon_30)
    
    # Clip the overlapping distance ploygons (create two donuts + hole)
    for i in reversed(range(1, len(distances))):
        polygons[i] = gpd.overlay(polygons[i], polygons[i-1], how="difference")

    return polygons

hospital_measure_acc (adjusted to incorporate dijkstra_cca_polygons)¶

Measures the effect of a single hospital on the surrounding area. (Uses dijkstra_cca_polygons)

Args:

  • _thread_id: int used to keep track of which thread this is
  • hospital: Geopandas dataframe with information on a hospital
  • pop_data: Geopandas dataframe with population data
  • distances: Distances in time to calculate accessibility for
  • weights: how to weight the different travel distances

Returns:

  • Tuple containing:
    • Int (_thread_id)
    • GeoDataFrame of catchment areas with key stats
In [20]:
def hospital_measure_acc (_thread_id, hospital, pop_data, distances, weights):
    # Create polygons
    polygons = dijkstra_cca_polygons(G, hospital['nearest_osm'], distances)
    
    # Calculate accessibility measurements
    num_pops = []
    for j in pop_data.index:
        point = pop_data['geometry'][j]
        # Multiply polygons by weights
        for k in range(len(polygons)):
            if len(polygons[k]) > 0: # To exclude the weirdo (convex hull is not polygon)
                if (point.within(polygons[k].iloc[0]["geometry"])):
                    num_pops.append(pop_data['pop'][j]*weights[k])  
    total_pop = sum(num_pops)
    for i in range(len(distances)):
        polygons[i]['time']=distances[i]
        polygons[i]['total_pop']=total_pop
        polygons[i]['hospital_icu_beds'] = float(hospital['Adult ICU'])/polygons[i]['total_pop'] # proportion of # of beds over pops in 10 mins
        polygons[i]['hospital_vents'] = float(hospital['Total Vent'])/polygons[i]['total_pop'] # proportion of # of beds over pops in 10 mins
        polygons[i].crs = { 'init' : 'epsg:4326'}
        polygons[i] = polygons[i].to_crs({'init':'epsg:32616'})
    print('{:.0f}'.format(_thread_id), end=" ", flush=True)
    return(_thread_id, [ polygon.copy(deep=True) for polygon in polygons ]) 

measure_acc_par¶

Parallel implementation of accessibility measurement.

Args:

  • hospitals: Geodataframe of hospitals
  • pop_data: Geodataframe containing population data
  • network: OSMNX street network
  • distances: list of distances to calculate catchments for
  • weights: list of floats to apply to different catchments
  • num_proc: number of processors to use.

Returns:

  • Geodataframe of catchments with accessibility statistics calculated
In [21]:
def hospital_acc_unpacker(args):
    return hospital_measure_acc(*args)

# WHERE THE RESULTS ARE POOLED AND THEN REAGGREGATED
def measure_acc_par (hospitals, pop_data, network, distances, weights, num_proc = 4):
    catchments = []
    for distance in distances:
        catchments.append(gpd.GeoDataFrame())
    pool = mp.Pool(processes = num_proc)
    hospital_list = [ hospitals.iloc[i] for i in range(len(hospitals)) ]
    print("Calculating", len(hospital_list), "hospital catchments...\ncompleted number:", end=" ")
    results = pool.map(hospital_acc_unpacker, zip(range(len(hospital_list)), hospital_list, itertools.repeat(pop_data), itertools.repeat(distances), itertools.repeat(weights)))
    pool.close()
    results.sort()
    results = [ r[1] for r in results ]
    for i in range(len(results)):
        for j in range(len(distances)):
            catchments[j] = catchments[j].append(results[i][j], sort=False)
    return catchments

We modify the overlap_calc function in order to weight service areas by percentage of overlap instead of simply exlcuding hospital catchments whose area is less than 50% within a certain hexagon.

overlap_calc¶

Calculates and aggregates accessibility statistics for one catchment on our grid file.

Args:

  • _id: thread ID
  • poly: GeoDataFrame representing a catchment area
  • grid_file: a GeoDataFrame representing our grids
  • weight: the weight to applied for a given catchment
  • service_type: the service we are calculating for: ICU beds or ventilators

Returns:

  • Tuple containing:
    • thread ID
    • Counter object (dictionary for numbers) with aggregated stats by grid ID number
In [22]:
from collections import Counter
def overlap_calc(_id, poly, grid_file, weight, service_type):
    value_dict = Counter()
    if type(poly.iloc[0][service_type])!=type(None):           
        value = float(poly[service_type])*weight
        intersect = gpd.overlay(grid_file, poly, how='intersection')
        intersect['overlapped']= intersect.area
        intersect['percent'] = intersect['overlapped']/intersect['area']
        intersect=intersect[intersect['percent']>=0.5]
        intersect_region = intersect['id']
        for intersect_id in intersect_region:
            try:
                value_dict[intersect_id] +=value
            except:
                value_dict[intersect_id] = value
    return(_id, value_dict)

def overlap_calc_unpacker(args):
    return overlap_calc(*args)

The following code block adds comments between lines of the function which explain what each line is doing. This improves readability and facilitates easier understanding for future replications.

In [23]:
# from collections import Counter
# def overlap_calc(_id, poly, grid_file, weight, service_type):
#     #writing function for overlap_calc
#     value_dict = Counter()
#     if type(poly.iloc[0][service_type])!=type(None):
#         #identify service areas (with ICU beds or ventilators)
#         value = float(poly[service_type])*weight
#         #weight service areas by catchment area (for a given catchment area eg. 1, 0.68, etc)
#         intersect = gpd.overlay(grid_file, poly, how='intersection')
#         #doing overlay between catchment areas and the hexagons (grid file)
#         intersect['overlapped']= intersect.area
#         #calcuate area of fragments where catchment areas and hexagons intersect
#         intersect['percent'] = intersect['overlapped']/intersect['area']
#         #calculate percentage of how much catchment area is within a hexagon
#        # intersect=intersect[intersect['percent']>=0.5]
#         # finding which hexgons have catchment areas which contribute less than 50%
#         value = [intersect['percent']]*value
#         intersect_region = intersect['id']
#         for intersect_id in intersect_region:
#             try:
#                 value_dict[intersect_id] +=value
#             except:
#                 value_dict[intersect_id] = value
#     return(_id, value_dict)

# def overlap_calc_unpacker(args):
#     return overlap_calc(*args)

overlapping_function¶

Calculates how all catchment areas overlap with and affect the accessibility of each grid in our grid file.

Args:

  • grid_file: GeoDataFrame of our grid
  • catchments: GeoDataFrame of our catchments
  • service_type: the kind of care being provided (ICU beds vs. ventilators)
  • weights: the weight to apply to each service type
  • num_proc: the number of processors

Returns:

  • Geodataframe - grid_file with calculated stats
In [24]:
def overlapping_function (grid_file, catchments, service_type, weights, num_proc = 4):
    grid_file[service_type]=0
    pool = mp.Pool(processes = num_proc)
    acc_list = []
    for i in range(len(catchments)):
        acc_list.extend([ catchments[i][j:j+1] for j in range(len(catchments[i])) ])
    acc_weights = []
    for i in range(len(catchments)):
        acc_weights.extend( [weights[i]]*len(catchments[i]) )
    results = pool.map(overlap_calc_unpacker, zip(range(len(acc_list)), acc_list, itertools.repeat(grid_file), acc_weights, itertools.repeat(service_type)))
    pool.close()
    results.sort()
    results = [ r[1] for r in results ]
    service_values = results[0]
    for result in results[1:]:
        service_values+=result
    for intersect_id, value in service_values.items():
        grid_file.loc[grid_file['id']==intersect_id, service_type] += value
    return(grid_file) 

normalization¶

Normalizes our result (Geodataframe) for a given resource (res).

In [25]:
def normalization (result, res):
    result[res]=(result[res]-min(result[res]))/(max(result[res])-min(result[res]))
    return result

file_import¶

Imports all files we need to run our code and pulls the Illinois network from OSMNX if it is not present (will take a while).

NOTE: even if we calculate accessibility for just Chicago, we want to use the Illinois network (or at least we should not use the Chicago network) because using the Chicago network will result in hospitals near but outside of Chicago having an infinite distance (unreachable because roads do not extend past Chicago).

Args:

  • pop_type: population type, either "pop" for general population or "covid" for COVID-19 cases
  • region: the region to use for our hospital and grid file ("Chicago" or "Illinois")

Returns:

  • G: OSMNX network
  • hospitals: Geodataframe of hospitals
  • grid_file: Geodataframe of grids
  • pop_data: Geodataframe of population
In [26]:
def output_map(output_grid, base_map, hospitals, resource):
    ax=output_grid.plot(column=resource, cmap='PuBuGn',figsize=(18,12), legend=True, zorder=1)
    # Next two lines set bounds for our x- and y-axes because it looks like there's a weird 
    # Point at the bottom left of the map that's messing up our frame (Maja)
    ax.set_xlim([314000, 370000])
    ax.set_ylim([540000, 616000])
    base_map.plot(ax=ax, facecolor="none", edgecolor='gray', lw=0.1)
    hospitals.plot(ax=ax, markersize=10, zorder=1, c='blue')

Run the model¶

Below you can customize the input of the model:

  • Processor - the number of processors to use
  • Region - the spatial extent of the measure
  • Population - the population to calculate the measure for
  • Resource - the hospital resource of interest
  • Hospital - all hospitals or subset to check code
In [27]:
import ipywidgets
from IPython.display import display

processor_dropdown = ipywidgets.Dropdown( options=[("1", 1), ("2", 2), ("3", 3), ("4", 4)],
    value = 4, description = "Processor: ")

population_dropdown = ipywidgets.Dropdown( options=[("Population at Risk", "pop"), ("COVID-19 Patients", "covid") ],
    value = "pop", description = "Population: ")

resource_dropdown = ipywidgets.Dropdown( options=[("ICU Beds", "hospital_icu_beds"), ("Ventilators", "hospital_vents") ],
    value = "hospital_icu_beds", description = "Resource: ")

hospital_dropdown =  ipywidgets.Dropdown( options=[("All hospitals", "hospitals"), ("Subset", "hospital_subset") ],
    value = "hospitals", description = "Hospital:")

display(processor_dropdown,population_dropdown,resource_dropdown,hospital_dropdown)
Dropdown(description='Processor: ', index=3, options=(('1', 1), ('2', 2), ('3', 3), ('4', 4)), value=4)
Dropdown(description='Population: ', options=(('Population at Risk', 'pop'), ('COVID-19 Patients', 'covid')), …
Dropdown(description='Resource: ', options=(('ICU Beds', 'hospital_icu_beds'), ('Ventilators', 'hospital_vents…
Dropdown(description='Hospital:', options=(('All hospitals', 'hospitals'), ('Subset', 'hospital_subset')), val…

Process population data¶

In [28]:
if population_dropdown.value == "pop":
    pop_data = pop_centroid(atrisk_data, population_dropdown.value)
elif population_dropdown.value == "covid":
    pop_data = pop_centroid(covid_data, population_dropdown.value)
distances=[600,1200,1800] # Distances in travel time
#distances=[10,20,30] # Distances in travel time
weights=[1.0, 0.68, 0.22] # Weights where weights[0] is applied to distances[0]
# Other weighting options representing different distance decays
# weights1, weights2, weights3 = [1.0, 0.42, 0.09], [1.0, 0.75, 0.5], [1.0, 0.5, 0.1]
# it is surprising how long this function takes just to calculate centroids.
# why not do it with the geopandas/pandas functions rather than iterating through every item?
Pop Centroid File Setting: 100%|██████████| 3121/3121 [03:25<00:00, 15.18it/s]

Process hospital data¶

If you have already run this code and changed the Hospital selection, rerun the Load Hospital Data block.

In [29]:
# Set hospitals according to hospital dropdown
if hospital_dropdown.value == "hospital_subset":
    hospitals = hospital_setting(hospitals[:1], G)
else: 
    hospitals = hospital_setting(hospitals, G)
resources = ["hospital_icu_beds", "hospital_vents"] # resources
# this is also slower than it needs to be; if network nodes and hospitals are both
# geopandas data frames, it should be possible to do a much faster spatial join rather than iterating through every hospital
Find the nearest network node from hospitals: 100%|██████████| 66/66 [01:17<00:00,  1.17s/it]
hospital setting is done

Visualize catchment areas for first hospital¶

In [30]:
# Create point geometries for entire graph
# what is the pupose of the following two lines? Can this be deleted?
# for node, data in G.nodes(data=True):
#     data['geometry']=Point(data['x'], data['y'])

# which hospital to visualize? 
fighosp = 7

# Create catchment for hospital 0
poly = dijkstra_cca_polygons(G, hospitals['nearest_osm'][fighosp], distances)

# Reproject polygons
for i in range(len(poly)):
    poly[i].crs = { 'init' : 'epsg:4326'}
    poly[i] = poly[i].to_crs({'init':'epsg:32616'})

# Reproject hospitals 
# Possible to map from the hospitals data rather than creating hospital_subset?
hospital_subset = hospitals.iloc[[fighosp]].to_crs(epsg=32616)

fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12,8))

min_10 = poly[0].plot(ax=ax, color="royalblue", label="10 min drive")
min_20 = poly[1].plot(ax=ax, color="cornflowerblue", label="20 min drive")
min_30 = poly[2].plot(ax=ax, color="lightsteelblue", label="30 min drive")

hospital_subset.plot(ax=ax, color="red", legend=True, label = "hospital")

# Add legend
ax.legend()
Out[30]:
<matplotlib.legend.Legend at 0x7f810fdbe130>
In [31]:
poly
Out[31]:
[                                            geometry
 0  POLYGON ((441787.793 4610504.026, 433342.680 4...,
                                             geometry
 0  POLYGON ((433849.512 4600241.594, 427684.513 4...,
                                             geometry
 0  POLYGON ((451766.066 4587286.033, 438932.445 4...]

Calculate hospital catchment areas¶

In [32]:
%%time
catchments = measure_acc_par(hospitals, pop_data, G, distances, weights, num_proc=processor_dropdown.value)
Calculating 66 hospital catchments...
completed number: 5 15 0 10 6 1 16 11 2 7 12 17 3 8 18 13 4 9 19 14 20 25 30 35 21 26 31 36 22 27 37 32 28 23 33 38 29 24 34 39 40 45 55 50 41 46 56 51 42 47 57 52 43 48 58 53 44 49 59 54 60 65 61 62 63 64 CPU times: user 2.15 s, sys: 408 ms, total: 2.56 s
Wall time: 1min 48s

Calculate accessibility¶

In [33]:
%%time
for j in range(len(catchments)):
    catchments[j] = catchments[j][catchments[j][resource_dropdown.value]!=float('inf')]
result=overlapping_function(grid_file, catchments, resource_dropdown.value, weights, num_proc=processor_dropdown.value)
CPU times: user 5.2 s, sys: 365 ms, total: 5.56 s
Wall time: 17 s
In [40]:
# add weight field to each catchment polygon
for i in range(len(weights)):
    catchments[i]['weight'] = weights[i]
# combine the three sets of catchment polygons into one geodataframe
geocatchments = pd.concat([catchments[0], catchments[1], catchments[2]])
geocatchments
Out[40]:
geometry time total_pop hospital_icu_beds hospital_vents weight
0 POLYGON ((448183.185 4637565.186, 445181.084 4... 600 774246.84 0.000046 0.000015 1.00
0 POLYGON ((438560.568 4609646.631, 432067.664 4... 600 719649.38 0.000272 0.000089 1.00
0 POLYGON ((444065.785 4649104.166, 442871.481 4... 600 455860.76 0.000195 0.000064 1.00
0 POLYGON ((421468.232 4621045.724, 421031.920 4... 600 718206.62 0.000091 0.000029 1.00
0 POLYGON ((443313.505 4615987.097, 440030.033 4... 600 694887.00 0.000095 0.000030 1.00
... ... ... ... ... ... ...
0 POLYGON ((443223.331 4604956.986, 440431.675 4... 1800 999144.68 0.000027 0.000009 0.22
0 MULTIPOLYGON (((420251.781 4675101.028, 428590... 1800 758913.48 0.000059 0.000018 0.22
0 POLYGON ((415910.447 4618609.875, 409824.239 4... 1800 963567.82 0.000087 0.000028 0.22
0 POLYGON ((444519.744 4602914.274, 438784.832 4... 1800 930027.68 0.000066 0.000022 0.22
0 POLYGON ((416033.726 4607281.060, 413086.072 4... 1800 785422.20 0.000120 0.000038 0.22

198 rows × 6 columns

In [41]:
%%time
# set weighted to False for original 50% threshold method
# switch to True for area-weighted overlay
weighted = True

# if the value to be calculated is already in the hegaxon grid, delete it
# otherwise, the field name gets a suffix _1 in the overlay step
if resource_dropdown.value in list(grid_file.columns.values):
    grid_file = grid_file.drop(resource_dropdown.value, axis = 1)
    
# calculate hexagon 'target' areas
grid_file['area'] = grid_file.area
    
# Intersection overlay of hospital catchments and hexagon grid
print("Intersecting hospital catchments with hexagon grid...")
fragments = gpd.overlay(grid_file, geocatchments, how='intersection')

# Calculate percent coverage of the hexagon by the hospital catchment as
# fragment area / target(hexagon) area
fragments['percent'] = fragments.area / fragments['area']

# if using weighted aggregation... 
if weighted:
    print("Calculating area-weighted value...")
    # multiply the service/population ratio by the distance weight and the percent coverage
    fragments['value'] = fragments[resource_dropdown.value] * fragments['weight'] * fragments['percent']

# if using the 50% coverage rule for unweighted aggregation...
else:
    print("Calculating value for hexagons with >=50% overlap...")
    # filter for only the fragments with > 50% coverage by hospital catchment
    fragments = fragments[fragments['percent']>=0.5]
    # multiply the service/population ration by the distance weight
    fragments['value'] = fragments[resource_dropdown.value] * fragments['weight']

# select just the hexagon id and value from the fragments,
# group the fragments by the (hexagon) id,
# and sum the values
print("Summarizing results by hexagon id...")
sum_results = fragments[['id', 'value']].groupby(by = ['id']).sum()

# join the results to the hexagon grid_file based on hexagon id
print("Joining results to hexagons...")
result_new = pd.merge(grid_file, sum_results, how="left", on = "id")

# rename value column name to the resource name
result_new.rename(columns = {'value' : resource_dropdown.value})
Intersecting hospital catchments with hexagon grid...
Calculating area-weighted value...
Summarizing results by hexagon id...
Joining results to hexagons...
CPU times: user 12.2 s, sys: 61.4 ms, total: 12.3 s
Wall time: 12.3 s
Out[41]:
left top right bottom id area geometry hospital_icu_beds
0 440843.416087 4.638515e+06 441420.766356 4.638015e+06 4158 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4638265.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003569
1 440843.416087 4.638015e+06 441420.766356 4.637515e+06 4159 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4637765.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003607
2 440843.416087 4.639515e+06 441420.766356 4.639015e+06 4156 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4639265.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003651
3 440843.416087 4.639015e+06 441420.766356 4.638515e+06 4157 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4638765.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003593
4 440843.416087 4.640515e+06 441420.766356 4.640015e+06 4154 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4640265.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003608
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
3274 440843.416087 4.643015e+06 441420.766356 4.642515e+06 4149 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4642765.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003535
3275 440843.416087 4.644515e+06 441420.766356 4.644015e+06 4146 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4644265.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003515
3276 440843.416087 4.644015e+06 441420.766356 4.643515e+06 4147 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4643765.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003525
3277 440843.416087 4.645515e+06 441420.766356 4.645015e+06 4144 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4645265.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003403
3278 440843.416087 4.645015e+06 441420.766356 4.644515e+06 4145 216506.350946 POLYGON ((440843.416 4644765.403, 440987.754 4... 0.003472

3279 rows × 8 columns

In [42]:
%%time
result = normalization (result, resource_dropdown.value)
CPU times: user 2.24 ms, sys: 3 µs, total: 2.25 ms
Wall time: 2.14 ms
In [43]:
result.head()
Out[43]:
left top right bottom id area geometry hospital_icu_beds
0 440843.416087 4.638515e+06 441420.766356 4.638015e+06 4158 216661.173 POLYGON ((351469.371 580527.566, 351609.858 58... 0.925107
1 440843.416087 4.638015e+06 441420.766356 4.637515e+06 4159 216661.168 POLYGON ((351477.143 580027.445, 351617.630 58... 0.947281
2 440843.416087 4.639515e+06 441420.766356 4.639015e+06 4156 216661.169 POLYGON ((351453.825 581527.810, 351594.311 58... 0.952409
3 440843.416087 4.639015e+06 441420.766356 4.638515e+06 4157 216661.171 POLYGON ((351461.598 581027.688, 351602.085 58... 0.933176
4 440843.416087 4.640515e+06 441420.766356 4.640015e+06 4154 216661.171 POLYGON ((351438.276 582528.054, 351578.761 58... 0.940999

Results & Discussion¶

to be written.

Accessibility Map¶

In [44]:
%%time
hospitals = hospitals.to_crs({'init': 'epsg:26971'})
result = result.to_crs({'init': 'epsg:26971'})
output_map(result, pop_data, hospitals, resource_dropdown.value)
CPU times: user 1.33 s, sys: 157 ms, total: 1.49 s
Wall time: 1.29 s

Classified Accessibility Outputs

In [45]:
def output_map_classified(output_grid, hospitals, resource):
    ax=output_grid.plot(column=resource, 
                        scheme='Equal_Interval', 
                        k=5, 
                        linewidth=0,
                        cmap='Blues', 
                        figsize=(18,12), 
                        legend=True, 
                        label="Acc Measure",
                        zorder=1)
    # Next two lines set bounds for our x- and y-axes because it looks like there's a weird 
    # Point at the bottom left of the map that's messing up our frame (Maja)
    ax.set_xlim([325000, 370000])
    ax.set_ylim([550000, 600000])
    hospitals.plot(ax=ax, 
                   markersize=10, 
                   zorder=2,
                   c='black',
                   legend=False,
                   )
In [46]:
output_map_classified(result, hospitals, resource_dropdown.value)
# save as image with file name including the resource value, population value, and buffered / not buffered
plt.savefig('./results/figures/reproduction/{}_{}_buff_classified_spdLimit.png'.format(population_dropdown.value, resource_dropdown.value, resource_dropdown.value))

Conclusion¶

The changes we have made to Kang's study account for several geographic threats to validity and potential sources of error in the original study.

We implemented the osmnx speed module in order to improve computational efficiency and legibility of the code. This module replaced several of the original "for loops" in the network_setting function, effectively simplifying reducing redundancies. In a similar vein, we commented on each line of the overlap_calc function, explaining what each line accomplished, which could improve the reproducibility of this study, given that it is easier to modify or change code when you know what each line or function does.

The other significant change that we made improved translation from hospital cathcments into hexagons by way of modifying the overlap_calc function. Instead of exlcuding hospital catchments whose area is less than 50% within a certain hexagon, we used an area-weighted reaggregation to weight a service area by the percentage of overlap, which improves the accuracyof the model and decreases the model's sensitivity to the modifiable areal unit problem.

Our Accessibility map looks at ICU beds and populations at risk. The accessibility of these resources appears different -- and greater -- than in the original map, which excluded hospital catchments whose area was less than 50% within a certain hexagon. In essence, at-risk populations have greater and faster access to ICU beds (or hospital resources) than what the original map suggested.

In light of the changes we have made to this study, we can be more confident in our results.

References¶

Luo, W., & Qi, Y. (2009). An enhanced two-step floating catchment area (E2SFCA) method for measuring spatial accessibility to primary care physicians. Health & place, 15(4), 1100-1107.